Tuesday, February 19, 2008

How Reliable is an AVM?

Some lenders and property owners are relying on Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) to determine property values. These computers rely on data gathered from a hodge podge of sources (some shockingly unreliable), mix the data up and then spit out a “value”. Simply put, relying on that data instead of a professional appraiser can result in disaster.

Here are 3 things AVMs can’t tell you:

1. Is the house even there? A computer can’t even drive by a house to see if it’s actually located where it’s supposed to be, has four walls and a roof, and really is a four bedroom split level and not a one bedroom shack.

2. Does the property have unique features that may add or subtract to the value? So a computer returns an estimated value of $150,000. Did it account for the sewage treatment station next door? The recent kitchen renovation? The school district? The desirability of its tree-lined street versus the next street over?

3. What makes the comparables “comparable”? A computer might compare your subject property to another property with similar square footage sold three months ago a quarter of a mile away. Even if that “comparable” property is in a different, less desirable school district, fronts a four-lane, 55 M.P.H. street, and is flood-prone. Or even if the property was sold under duress, such as in a divorce situation, or not at arm’s length, such as to a family member. A computer simply does not know all the adjustments that might need to be made to a “comparable” property’s sales price.

Rely on a us for an accurate appraisal of your property. We are professional appraisers with years of experience in all of Tampa Bay. No computer in India can compare!